Today's most important piece of information is that ETF Radar remains focused on a two-pronged approach: one end with AI semiconductors continuing to perform strongly, and the other end with high interest rates continuing to pressure real estate and medium-term bonds.

While the change is not in 'the main trend shifting', it lies in the market pushing technology stocks even further. Like SOXX, SMH, and EWT, which showed significant gains yesterday, this can be seen as short-term prices validating the original positive tech bias of the system.

Main Theme Deep Dive: AI Chain is Still in Play

What investors should closely watch today is the line of East Asian semiconductor and AI computing power. In essence, major companies are still pouring money into buying computing power, with order expectations remaining firm in chipmaking, servers, and manufacturing. The input shows TSMC's related statements and Foxconn's strong hardware sales performance, which are providing fundamental support to this chain.

Why does this affect ETFs? Because tech ETFs already have a significant weight in semiconductors and large-cap technology stocks. Imagine the upstream semiconductor manufacturers as

Regarding ETFs, the ETF Radar model is slightly positive on SMH, with signals being consistent. In simpler terms, multiple pieces of evidence are pointing in the same direction, supporting the continued strength of the semiconductor sector. More critically, both 20-day and 1-day price trends are aligned, which means the tape is also validating this assessment. However, it should be acknowledged that SMH has risen significantly over the past 20 days, indicating that some of the positive factors have already been reflected in the market.

Additionally, ETF Radar is also positive on QQQ, with the evidence being more focused. In plain terms, this means that the judgment mainly centers around AI compute power investment not yet fizzling out. QQQ is not purely a semiconductor ETF; it more resembles a 'broad tech basket', containing both platform companies and hardware and software leaders. Thus, its elasticity is usually not as strong as SMH's, but as long as the mainline remains in AI capital expenditures, it will continue to benefit. Yesterday, QQQ gained 2.51% on a single day, also serving as price validation for this direction.

Other Actionable ETFs Overview

Additionally, the model is negatively biased towards IYR, with multiple pieces of evidence pointing in the same direction. IYR is an ETF for US real estate, essentially a bundle fund for property stocks. The Fed is leaning hawkish, which means it wants to keep interest rates high, making borrowing more expensive and increasing pressure on the real estate sector.

Looking at VGIT, the readings point to a slightly negative outlook, with signals being fairly consistent. VGIT is an ETF for US mid-term Treasury bonds; bond prices and interest rates often move in opposite directions, so rising rates can put pressure on bond prices.

There is also EWT, which has a generally strong positive signal according to the data. EWT is a Taiwan market ETF, and this time it benefited from the semiconductor chain and capital inflows, with both the 1-day and 20-day performances showing alignment yesterday.

FXI is now slightly negative. The reason is not a single piece of bad news, but rather weak domestic demand in China, combined with policies that appear more targeted and less supportive for banks and cyclical sectors, where the support is not yet evident enough.

Today's summary in one sentence: ETF Radar still sees the old main theme of 'tech stronger, higher rates tighter', with short-term prices largely cooperating with this script. As a reminder, the above is the system's quantitative model prediction for general market direction and does not constitute personal investment advice; please consult a licensed investment advisor before investing.