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Performance · Rates futures

Expresses the per-tenor rate calls with US and Canadian government bond futures, sizing each tenor by DV01 (P&L per basis point). Canadian tenors use same-maturity bond ETFs in place of futures.

Return
+13.46%
Cash (3M T-bill) +0.30%
Max drawdown
-4.21%
peak to trough
Running
20 days
since 2026-09-18
Trades
4 closed
7 open

Under 30 trading days: Sharpe and win rate are not computed yet and the figures prove nothing. Net of trading costs.

Equity curve

-5%+0%+5%+10%+15%09-1810-0210-15+13.5%

Benchmark: Cash (3M T-bill). The last point may be an intraday mark and is rewritten after settlement.

P&L breakdown

Closed price P&L+$10,680
Open unrealised P&L+$3,616
Trading costs−$836
Roll costs$0

Open positions

TenorSideContractEntryEntry pxLast pxUnrealised
Canada 10-yearShort · yields upXGB.TO2026-09-1818.68918.750−$82
Canada 2-yearShort · yields upXSB.TO2026-09-1826.51226.600−$83
Canada 30-yearShort · yields upZFL.TO2026-09-1811.40311.410−$16
US 10-yearShort · yields upZNZ26.CBT2026-10-07104.484105.516−$3,094
US 2-yearLong · yields downZTZ26.CBT2026-10-12101.801101.953+$1,828
US 30-yearLong · yields downZBZ26.CBT2026-10-09103.125105.531+$2,406
US 5-yearLong · yields downZFZ26.CBT2026-10-06103.578104.109+$2,656

Closed trades

TenorSideHeldEntry → exitExit reasonNet P&L
US 2-yearShort · yields up2026-09-18 → 2026-10-12101.879 → 101.801call flipped+$820
US 30-yearShort · yields up2026-09-18 → 2026-10-07107.031 → 102.219call flipped+$4,746
US 5-yearShort · yields up2026-09-23 → 2026-10-05103.586 → 103.406call flipped+$800
US 10-yearShort · yields up2026-09-18 → 2026-09-28105.828 → 104.484call flipped+$3,926

Trade log

DateActionTenorSideContractPrice
2026-10-12OpenUS 2-yearLong · yields downZTZ26.CBT101.801
2026-10-12CloseUS 2-yearShort · yields upZTZ26.CBT101.801
2026-10-09OpenUS 30-yearLong · yields downZBZ26.CBT103.125
2026-10-07OpenUS 10-yearShort · yields upZNZ26.CBT104.484
2026-10-07CloseUS 30-yearShort · yields upZBZ26.CBT102.219
2026-10-06OpenUS 5-yearLong · yields downZFZ26.CBT103.578
2026-10-05CloseUS 5-yearShort · yields upZFZ26.CBT103.406
2026-09-28CloseUS 10-yearShort · yields upZNZ26.CBT104.484
2026-09-23OpenUS 5-yearShort · yields upZFZ26.CBT103.586
2026-09-18OpenUS 2-yearShort · yields upZTZ26.CBT101.879
2026-09-18OpenUS 10-yearShort · yields upZNZ26.CBT105.828
2026-09-18OpenUS 30-yearShort · yields upZBZ26.CBT107.031
2026-09-18OpenCanada 2-yearShort · yields upXSB.TO26.512
2026-09-18OpenCanada 10-yearShort · yields upXGB.TO18.689
2026-09-18OpenCanada 30-yearShort · yields upZFL.TO11.403
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Simulated research, not investment advice.

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